NEW YORK YANKEES & HOUSTON ASTROS

NEW YORK YANKEES 100-62 | 2019 Projection: 102 Wins

WIN 62% OF NEUTRAL FIELD SIMULATIONS
The normal season went as expected. They won 100 games vs an expected win total of 100. They won 58 percent over the road which was expected (58 percent ). They won 53 at home and were expected to acquire 53. Our projected document for following season is similar. They’re averaging 102 wins per sim and are projected to finish first in the American League. There is not much of a gap between them along with the #3 ranked Red Sox that are projected for 100 wins. They are a competition with a 15.2% chance of winning the World Series according to simulations and also a 25% probability of reaching the sequence. Even with all the juice, they are a good futures value with championship chances of 6/1, 14.3percent and odds to win the AL in 11/4, 26.7%. They’re the favorite to win the AL East in 53.5percent but they aren’t a fantastic value to acquire the division at 4/5 (55.6%) odds.
HOUSTON ASTROS
Had they not had a firesale of the high talent this off-season they would have been projected to win nearly 90 matches and would have been real contenders. Their 103 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +1.4 over what oddsmakers’ cash line projected. The season went better than anticipated. Their strength was in road games. They gained 70.4% on the street which was much better than expected (58.9%). They won 46 at home and were expected to win 53.8. Anticipate a similar record following season. In our latest simulations they’re averaging 102 wins and are projected to finish second in the American League. There’s not much of a gap between them and the #3 ranked Red Sox that are projected to get 100 wins. They are a competition with a 18.9% probability of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 32% chance of accomplishing the sequence. In spite of all the juice, they are a decent futures betting value with championship chances of 6/1, 14.3% and odds to win the AL in 11/4, 26.7 percent. The Astros are not as good as the Yankees if they had the exact same schedule and same division. However, given their overwhelming favourite status to win their division (84 percent in simulations. 1/8, 89% likelihood ) they have a much better chance of avoiding the Wild Card game and subsequently have the very best chance of winning it all out of the American League.

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