Breeders’ Cup 2018 odds, picks and longshots: Handicapping Saturday’s Classic, Turf and Distaff

Two times of Breeders’ Cup races come to a climax with All the Grand Pooh-Bah of them all, the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

There are a several story lines in the 2018 Classic, one between the favorite, Accelerate. With a victory here, the John Sadler trainee can capture Horse of the Year consideration over Justify. It would take a whole lot to select Accelerate within a Triple Crown winner, but the better your performance, the greater the chance.
Another thing of noteworthiness in the Classic is a horse called Discreet Lover. Owned and trained by Uriah St. Lewis Jr., this Parx-based 5-year older was bought for a mere $10,000 and is now running at a $6 million rush. Discreet Lover won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont in September and boasts over $1.3 million in earnings. We should all admit Uriah for a great job conditioning this horse and wish him luck.
Here are odds and selections for three races on Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup card the Distaff, the Turf, and of course, the Classic.
Race 9: Breeders’ Cup Distaff chances and analysis
Purse: $2 million
For Fillies And Mares 3 years old and up Distance: 1-1/8 miles on the dirt
Post time: 4:16 p.m. ET
MOMOMOY GIRL (2/1 odds) looks to make amends from her final outing, in which she crossed the cable by a throat but was disqualified, also MIDNIGHT BISOU (6/1) has been awarded the win. In the event, it were not for this disqualification and a defeat by a neck this past year, this girl would be a perfect 10-for-10. In what might be one of the very finely scripted races around the 2018 Breeders’ Cup card, Monomy Girl additionally takes on a year’s Kentucky Oaks winner, ABEL TASMAN (7/2).
Abel Tasman is coming off a gloomy and perplexing fifth-place finish in the Sep. 30 Zenyatta Stakes at Santa Anita. Before that inadequate attempt, she rattled off two Grade 1 wins while submitting two Beyer Speed amounts of over 100. If she shows up with her A-game today, she will be one tough cookie.
WONDOR GADOT (15/1) came within a half-length of Monomoy Girl the last time the two met in Churchill, but her last two races weren’t good at all, and she looks from shape.
BLUE PRIZE (10/1) is coming off three straight graded stakes wins and seems in good form.
WOW CAT (8/1) showed improvement whilst winning the Beldame last time out but finished a distant third to Abel Tasman before from the Personal Ensign Stakes at Saratoga.
CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS (12/1) ran next to Blue Prize in their last two encounters missing by three-quarters of a length and a nose. If she can remain straight and unbothered in the stretch, she could be harmful here.
VALE DORI (12/1) was a smooth winner of this Zenyatta Stakes. She is another who comes into this race in good form and with confidence.
Rounding out the field are LA FORCE (20/1), who comes off three-straight second place finishes in Grade 1 events; MOPOTISM (30/1), who’s really been off shape; and VERVE’S TALE (30/1), who likes to hit the plank when he could but seldom wins.
Breeders’ Cup Distaff chooses No. 2 ABEL TASMAN (7/2): Fires big Saturday
No. 11 MONOMOY GIRL (2/1): Will be correct there
No. 8 VALE DORI (12/1): She brings it now No. 7 MIDNIGHT BISOU (6/1): One tough lady Race 10: Breeders’ Cup Turf odds and analysis
Purse: $4 million
For 3-year olds and upward Distance: 1-1/2 Miles on the turf
Post Time: 4:56 p.m. ET
ENABLE (1/1 odds) is the even-money morning-line favorite to dollar history and become the first horse to win the Arc de Triomphe and the Breeders’ Cup Turf in the exact same year. This girl is a winner of 10 career starts and her career worst is a third, only 2-1/2 lengths from the winner along with a perfect record. If she traveled okay and does not mind the Churchill surface, she could have a very easy day. Europeans fare well in this race, and this seems to be the case this year .
WALDGEIST (9/2), the next betting favorite from the morning-line chances, won four-straight Group 1 races in France before finishing fourth in The Arc. He ought to be prepared to roll here.
ROBERT BRUCE (10/1) looked decent winning the Arlington Million in August and came back a month ago to conduct a match second in a Grade 1 in Belmont.
TALASMANIC (12/1) won this race last season but took a beating at the current Arc by 11 lengths.
CHANNEL MAKER (12/1) scored well by 4??1/2 lengths from the Joe Hirsh Turf Classic on Sept. 29. He posted a 108 Beyer in that race, and that puts him in the mix .
MAGICAL (10/1) acquired a Group 1 at Ascot on Oct. 20 and ran tenth in The Arc fourteen days prior to that. She could encounter this race a bit tired.
GLORIOUS EMPIRE (12/1) won the Grade 1 Sword Dancer at Saratoga in August, as well as a Grade 2 before that. This horse has put it together in his past few starts.
SADLER’S JOY (30/1) ran fourth in this race last season but is just 1-for-7 this year and has not won since March.
HI HAPPY (20/1) missed by a neck at the Knickerbocker at Belmont, but his 2 attempts prior to that were not good, and he’s in pretty deep .
ARKLOW (30/1) ran a great second in the Sycamore at Keeneland on Oct. 18, but that area was pretty weak and he resembles another who is overmatched.
LIAM THE CHARMER (30/1) just barely prevailed his last two wins in California, but his foes were not quite as classy as these horses.
HUNTING HORN (30/1) finished a dismal 16th at The Arc, and he will have a tough time with this group now.
The area is rounded out by QUARTETO p CORDAS (30/1), that has never raced outside Brazil and wasn’t even that good there.
Breeders’ Cup Turf chooses No. Two ENABLE (1/1 odds): Makes history today No. 3 CHANNEL MAKER (12/1): is in winning mode No. 12 WALDGEIST (9/2): Will be around at the wire No. 4 ROBERT BRUCE (10/1): Could wake up here
Longshot using a shot: CHANNEL MAKER (12/1 odds)
On paper, it is almost impossible to go against Permit in this race. But if she does not appear with her finest, Channel Maker will be there to pounce. I see this horse as a clear and strong second-place finisher, also we should have at least 10/1 chances on him. Play him under Permit on your exotic stakes.
Race 11: Breeders’ Cup Classic chances and analysis
Purse: $6 Million
For 3-year olds and upward Distance: 1??1/4 miles
Post Time: 5:44 p.m. ET
ACCELERATE (5/2 odds) is a neck from six wins in a row and has four Grade 1 victories this season. This guy was off the board only double in 21 career starts and got a 115 Beyer Speed Figure two starts back in the Pacific Classic. He’s the deserving favourite and lots scary, if you don’t have him.
WEST COAST (5/1) ran a great second to Accelerate off a six-month layoff and hasn’t been off the board in 12 starts. He is packed out, toned up, and prepared and ready for a fantastic work.
McKINZIE (6/1): Missed a lot of the year because of injury but came back to score in the Pennsylvania Derby. He’s the finest of the three-year-olds in here.
MIND YOUR BISCUITS (6/1): has struck the board in last seven starts and can be very capable of doing so now, but I don’t see him winning.
CATHOLIC BOY (8/1): Gunning for four in a row, this guy’s a proven winner on turf and dirt. His last time was a triumph at the Travers Stakes by four lengths — he is a player.
YOSHIDA (10/1): Last outing proved to be a wonderful jog in the Woodward at Saratoga, and he came home by two lengths in a good and full area. He can hit the board here.
THUNDER SNOW (12/1): He just missed in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at a Fantastic effort in September. But his one start at Churchill was not a great one — bucking and rearing at the start of the 2017 Derby. Thunder has made over $8.5 million, and if he behaves himself, he is a variable.
MENDELSSOHN (12/1): Although he has been in the hunt in his past few races, he hasn’t won since March and that has been in Meydan. Passing.
ROARING LION (20/1) Talented 3-year older has cranked off four Group 1 wins in a row, but he’s never run in the USA nor on dirt. Mixed feelings.
PAVEL (20/1): He ran second to Accelerate in the Pacific Classic, but 12??1/2 crosses behind. Passing.
DISCREET LOVER (20/1): Owned and trained by Uriah St. Lewis Jr., this horse looked good winning the Jockey Club Gold Cup, but I do not believe he gets a winning trip here.
AXELROD (30/1): A great second in the Pennsylvania Derby and has won a couple of events that are graded, but is not quickly or refined enough to contend with them.
LONE SAILOR (30/1): He won a Grade 3 at Remington Park on Sept. 30, his sole win in 11 starts. No thanks.
GUNNEVERA (20/1): He conducted a decent moment from the Woodward in his final outing and this race matches his running style, but others are better.
Breeders’ Cup Classic picks No. 7 WEST COAST 5/1: Holds Accelerate at bay
No. 14 ACCELERATE 5/2: Set to get a good effort No. 10 YOSHIDA 10/1: Nice triumph in The Woodward
No. 6 McKINZIE 6/1: Greatest of the 3-year Id

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